Current:Home > MyScientists closely watching these 3 disastrous climate change scenarios-LoTradeCoin
Scientists closely watching these 3 disastrous climate change scenarios
View Date:2024-12-24 04:31:59
A host of potential climate change catastrophes worry scientists, but some scenarios are so dire that experts are constantly monitoring how close we are to disaster.
This week brought some good climate news about one those scenarios in Antarctica: The so-called "Doomsday glacier" may be more stable than previously thought, according to new research published Wednesday.
The Thwaites Glacier on the vast West Antarctica Ice Sheet is commonly called the "Doomsday Glacier" because of its potential to significantly raise sea levels, inundating low-lying coastal communities and displacing millions of people.
Meanwhile, scientists keep tracking several other potential large-scale climate troublemakers. Scenarios including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and the Greenland ice sheet have the potential to radically reshape life on Earth in the coming years, decades or centuries.
Here's the latest:
'Doomsday glacier': Worst-case scenario is unlikely, for now
The Thwaites Glacier has been studied for years as an indicator of human-caused climate change.
In one nightmare scenario, the glacier's melt fuels a 50-foot rise in sea level. The Florida Peninsula would be submerged, save for a strip of interior high ground spanning from Gainesville to north of Lake Okeechobee, with the state's coastal cities underwater.
That scenario now looks unlikely — for now, the new study says.
"We know this extreme projection is unlikely over the course of the 21st century," said study lead author Mathieu Morlighem, a Dartmouth University professor of earth sciences, in a statement.
The good news comes with plenty of caveats. Authors stress that the accelerating loss of ice from Greenland and Antarctica is nonetheless dire.
"Unfortunately, Thwaites Glacier is still going to retreat and with it most of the West Antarctic ice sheet, but not as rapidly as one scenario suggested," Morlighem told USA TODAY in an e-mail. He added that even though a rapid collapse was a "low likelihood" scenario in the latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "we show is that it is even less likely than we thought."
Sea level is probably going to rise by roughly 2-3 feet by the end of the century and continue to rise after, as the ice sheets continue to melt, he told USA TODAY.
Greenland's ice sheet: A mix of good and bad news
There's been mixed news about a similarly troubling ice sheet in Greenland.
Overall, the ice sheet covers more than 656,000 square miles, and if it were to fully melt, the global sea level would rise about 20 feet, according to the National Snow and Ice Date Center.
News continues to be worrisome in Greenland, which is losing about 270 billion tons of ice per year, adding to sea level rise, NASA said. A study earlier this year found that the ice sheet in Greenland is melting faster than researchers had thought.
But a study last year found that the sheet may be more resistant to climate change than once thought.
Basically, the study found that "the worst-case scenario of ice sheet collapse and consequent sea-level rise can be avoided – and even partly reversed – if we manage to reduce the global temperatures projected for after 2100," previously said Bryn Hubbard, a professor of glaciology at Aberystwyth University in Wales.
AMOC collapse: Scientists still studying feared 'Day After Tomorrow' ocean current
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) – a large system of ocean currents that carry warm water from the tropics into the North Atlantic – could collapse by the middle of the century, or possibly any time from 2025 onward, because of human-caused climate change, a study published last year suggests.
The AMOC gained international attention in 2004 with the release of the scientifically inaccurate disaster movie "The Day After Tomorrow," which used such an ocean current shutdown as the premise of the film.
An AMOC collapse in real life could trigger rapid weather and climate changes in the U.S., Europe and elsewhere. If it were to happen, it could bring about an ice age in Europe and sea-level rise in cities such as Boston and New York, as well as more potent storms and hurricanes along the East Coast.
Another study suggests the collapse could occur by 2050, but the research is still preliminary. Earlier this year, a published study found a collapse of the current was coming at some point, but didn't offer clues as to when it could occur.
veryGood! (38)
Related
- Mother of Man Found Dead in Tanning Bed at Planet Fitness Gym Details His Final Moments
- Millions of workers are subject to noncompete agreements. They could soon be banned
- Covid Killed New York’s Coastal Resilience Bill. People of Color Could Bear Much of the Cost
- Bachelor Nation’s Kelley Flanagan Debuts New Romance After Peter Weber Breakup
- Mike Tomlin's widely questioned QB switch to Russell Wilson has quieted Steelers' critics
- FBI looking into Biden Iran envoy Rob Malley over handling of classified material, multiple sources say
- One of the world's oldest endangered giraffes in captivity, 31-year-old Twiga, dies at Texas zoo
- New tax credits for electric vehicles kicked in last week
- 'Survivor' 47, Episode 9: Jeff Probst gave players another shocking twist. Who went home?
- A golden age for nonalcoholic beers, wines and spirits
Ranking
- GM recalls 460k cars for rear wheel lock-up: Affected models include Chevrolet, GMC, Cadillac
- Powerball jackpot now 9th largest in history
- This Frizz-Reducing, Humidity-Proofing Spray Is a Game-Changer for Hair and It Has 39,600+ 5-Star Reviews
- New York opens its first legal recreational marijuana dispensary
- Massachusetts lawmakers to consider a soccer stadium for the New England Revolution
- Vermont police officer, 19, killed in high-speed crash with suspect she was chasing
- Buying a home became a key way to build wealth. What happens if you can't afford to?
- UFC Fighter Conor McGregor Denies Sexually Assaulting Woman at NBA Game
Recommendation
-
Princess Kate makes rare public appearance after completing cancer chemo
-
Southwest Airlines apologizes and then gives its customers frequent-flyer points
-
On Climate, Kamala Harris Has a Record and Profile for Action
-
Battered, Flooded and Submerged: Many Superfund Sites are Dangerously Threatened by Climate Change
-
Chet Holmgren injury update: Oklahoma City Thunder star suffers hip fracture
-
Electric Vehicles for Uber and Lyft? Los Angeles Might Require It, Mayor Says.
-
Coinbase lays off around 20% of its workforce as crypto downturn continues
-
What Has Trump Done to Alaska? Not as Much as He Wanted To